Согласно исследованиям Messari, компания-разработчик Electric Coin Company (ECC) должна снизить расходы на свою работу или монета ZEC должна возрасти в цене. А все из-за того, что с аналогичными темпами, денег может хватить только на 25 месяцев.
Perhaps more important though is the fact that the latest developer reward proposal reduces reliance on the ECC anyways.
The Zcash community has paved the path towards a future less dependent on any specific organization.https://t.co/7xqwMPMWq8
— Ryan Watkins (@RyanWatkins_) June 25, 2020
Такая информация появилась после анализа отчета прозрачности ECC за 4 квартал прошлого года. Согласно опубликованным данным, месячные расходы на разработку составили $710 тыс. А доходы составили $410 тыс. Если издержки и цена монеты будут прежними, то после ноябрьского халвинга ежемесячный дефицит составит $280 тыс.
Today the Electric Coin Company (ECC) released its June 2020 transparency report.
As such I've updated our ECC funding model.
Assuming the ECC’s $710k in operating expenses stay flat, at current prices, the ECC will run a $280,000 monthly deficit after its November halving.
— Ryan Watkins (@RyanWatkins_) June 25, 2020
По словам исследователя Messari, Райана Уоткинса, 20% добываемых монет распределяют между разработчиками и основателями. В рамках такой финансовой модели, компания сможет прожить еще 2 года. После – необходимо искать новые источники дохода.
Структура вознаграждений в экосистеме Zcash: 80% монет достается майнерам, остальные 20% — основателям, разработчикам и прочим сотрудникам ECC и Zcash Foundation
With its current ~$7.2 million cash position, the ECC could survive 25 months, or more than two years, post-halving before it would need to look for alternative funding sources or cut costs.
The ECC currently runs about breakeven with the existing developer's reward allocation. pic.twitter.com/txAiNQsfqB
— Ryan Watkins (@RyanWatkins_) June 25, 2020
Under a bear case scenario where Zcash fell to it’s all time low of $20.40, the ECC could survive just 7 months post-halving, before needing to look for alternatives.
And this model likely overstates the runway considering part of the ECC’s cash balance is in ZEC to begin with. pic.twitter.com/Dn3EvLDDO3
— Ryan Watkins (@RyanWatkins_) June 25, 2020
«Если будет медвежий сценарий рынка, то Zcash достигнет исторического максимума на позиции $20,40. ECC в такой ситуации сможет просуществовать только 7 месяцев.»
После этого неизбежно сокращение затратной составляющей и привлечение инвестиций.
Чтобы выйти в безубыточность, цена монеты должна возрасти на 60%.
Nevertheless just as there are bear cases, there are also bull cases. The ECC is about a 60% ZEC price increase away from reaching breakeven post-halving — an amount very much within the realm of possibility for cryptocurrency.
— Ryan Watkins (@RyanWatkins_) June 25, 2020
В отчете также указано, что у ECC остались запасы ZEC на сумму около $7,2 млн (в пересчете на актуальную стоимость монеты).
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